TLT 7/27 84/82 Put Debit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 27, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenRFDELTA Daily Market Intelligence
Top Option Trades
Daily market edition
No defined-risk option setup cleared the publication gate
The screen found quoted verticals, but none met the combined liquidity, risk and ranking threshold required for publication.
A blank board is information. It means the price of optionality, the available liquidity and the directional signal did not line up cleanly enough to justify turning motion into a recommendation.
The next edition will rerun the same universe and rules after the next valid market session. The methodology does not fill empty slots with weaker trades.
Top score0.00
Avg. probability0.0%
Basket max risk$0
Data as ofJul 15, 12:59 PM EDT
Ranked opportunity set
What leads the board
Every score combines four payoff views, conservative expected value, liquidity, session follow-through and multi-session alignment.
No spread reached the publication threshold today. The full candidate screen remains part of the retained daily record.
Payoff discipline
Risk is known before the trade
Maximum loss and maximum profit are shown for one vertical spread using conservative entry prices.
There is no recommended spread risk on the board for this session.
Detailed trade intelligence
No qualifying trade today
None of today's defined-risk spreads offered enough probability margin and conservative expected value at executable prices.
Accountability ledger
Every prior basket, one expanding record
Open positions remain visible beside completed baskets, preserving the original trade terms and the final modeled expiration result for each published day.
July 14, 2026Daily market editionopen0 resolved / 5 open$0
The Jul 14, 2026 basket has no scored expiration result yet. 5 positions remain open.
0 wins0 near breakeven0 losses5 still open
BAC 7/31 60/59 Put Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 31, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenC 7/31 140/142 Call Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 31, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenT 7/31 21/20 Put Debit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 31, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenF 7/31 14/13.5 Put Debit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 31, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenJuly 13, 2026Daily market editionopen0 resolved / 5 open$0
The Jul 13, 2026 basket has no scored expiration result yet. 5 positions remain open.
0 wins0 near breakeven0 losses5 still open
BAC 7/24 59/58 Put Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenNKE 7/24 43/42 Put Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenORCL 7/24 145/148 Call Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenQQQ 7/24 715/708 Put Debit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenIWM 7/24 294/291 Put Debit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenJuly 10, 2026Daily market editionopen0 resolved / 5 open$0
The Jul 10, 2026 basket has no scored expiration result yet. 5 positions remain open.
0 wins0 near breakeven0 losses5 still open
NFLX 7/24 76/77 Call Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenT 7/24 21.5/22 Call Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenWFC 7/24 85/84 Put Credit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenTLT 7/24 85/84.5 Put Debit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenPLTR 7/24 125/120 Put Debit Spreadopen
The spread remains open through Jul 24, 2026; no expiration result is assigned.
OpenJune 19, 2026Historical calibration editioncomplete5 resolved / 0 open-$147
The Jun 19, 2026 basket has 1 win, 0 near-breakeven results and 4 losses across 5 resolved spreads, for modeled one-lot expiration P/L of -$147.00. All listed positions are resolved.
1 wins0 near breakeven4 losses0 still open
MARA 7/3 13/12.5 Put Credit Spreadloss
MARA closed at $12.40 for expiration settlement, producing -$39.00 on the one-lot spread.
-$39SMCI 7/3 28/27 Put Credit Spreadloss
SMCI closed at $27.22 for expiration settlement, producing -$57.00 on the one-lot spread.
-$57RGTI 7/3 19.5/19 Put Credit Spreadloss
RGTI closed at $17.94 for expiration settlement, producing -$38.00 on the one-lot spread.
-$38QUBT 7/3 10.5/10 Put Debit Spreadwin
QUBT closed at $9.05 for expiration settlement, producing $24.00 on the one-lot spread.
$24SOFI 7/3 17.5/16.5 Put Debit Spreadloss
SOFI closed at $18.24 for expiration settlement, producing -$37.00 on the one-lot spread.
-$37Daily Market Read
The cleanest option trade today is patience
The screen evaluated 19 defined-risk spreads across 38 current option chains. None cleared the complete price, probability, liquidity and confirmation standard at the quoted terms.
A no-trade board does not mean the market is quiet. It means the available spreads asked for too much risk, offered too little probability margin or lacked enough follow-through to justify an entry at the displayed bid and ask.
The important distinction is between an interesting ticker and an executable spread. Today produced candidates worth monitoring, but not one with enough room between its modeled probability and the payoff hurdle after conservative pricing.
That leaves the daily posture in cash rather than forcing a fifth-best idea into a portfolio. A later move can improve the setup, but it would need a fresh option-chain evaluation because both price and volatility will have changed.
The headline tape remains active, but fresh news only matters when the underlying and option market confirm it together. Today that confirmation was incomplete.
What to watch
Probability marginNo spread cleared the full hurdle
A stronger move or better option price can widen the gap between modeled probability and the break-even requirement.
Liquidity38 current chains reviewed
Tighter two-sided quotes can materially improve a vertical spread without changing the underlying thesis.
Session follow-throughDirection remains unconfirmed
A durable move through the session reference level matters more than an opening burst that fades.
VolatilityNo favorable risk-price combination
Watch whether implied volatility reprices faster than the underlying. Better structure can emerge even when direction stays unchanged.
Risk budget$0 of new one-lot maximum loss
No new exposure is preferable to accepting a spread that failed the same publication standard applied to every candidate.
Rolling comparison covers 4 retained market sessions: Jul 15, 2026, Jul 14, 2026, Jul 13, 2026, Jul 10, 2026. Market evidence is timestamped Jul 15, 2026, 12:59 PM EDT. RFDELTA Top Option Trades is market intelligence, not individualized investment advice. Options can expire worthless, spreads can be assigned early, and displayed quotes may move before an order can be filled.